Morning Call: Yen dives, Gold sold, Stocks drink kool-aid

Overnight

UPDATED 8:05

Markets resumed their Monday and Tuesday rallies as it appears Wednesday was a break and assessment. Stocks are up but less so than during the initial rush of Monday. The Yen continues its slide due to coming stimulus. The GBP is firmer on UK political stability. The Euro is stable on ECB talk allaying Italian banking worries. Markets are pricing perfection in Japan, relief in the Continent, and Fed Confidence in the US. Gold is lower on more risk off perception against all currencies except the Yen where it is up- Soren K

Headlines

  • UK IN SURPRISE HOLDS INTEREST RATES UNCH: GBP UP 2%, GILTS DROP- more HERE
  • SCHAEUBLE: NO NEGATIVE FALLOUT FROM ITALIAN BANKS- problem solved, can we short banks again?
  • GERMAN BONDS WITH NEG YIELD ISSUED FIRST TIME EVER-  ecb now accepting corp bonds as collaterol to loan banks cash to not collapse
  • OIL: NORTH SEA TRADERS HOARDING MOST SINCE 2009- ENERGYVOICE- hoarding implies bullish, it really means supply glut
  • USD/JPY ABOVE SPIKES ABOVE 105- the stimulus better be a good one- SEE CHART BELOW
  • Bernanke steers Japan to Helicopter money
  • S&P: VENEZUELAN RECESSION TO HIT 7.5%- bernie sanders endorses hillary
  • TESLA ENDS CAR BUYBACK PROGRAM- ZH- elon musk is a con man and taxpayers should understand why. look for "Musk Oil "report here today
  • CNN: FEAR AND GREED INDEX HITS 86%- gordon gekko nods approvingly
  • FBI AGENTS DISCLOSE UNUSUAL NDA IN HILLARY CASE- promises made after acquittal

In Focus: Japan and Easy money, some perspective

The rally seen the last 3 days has been seen as a saving of the Nikkei. We plead with you to ignore the cheerleading headlines and look where stocks are for the year in japan. Remember, Japan was first to fight deflation with easy money years ago.

 

Current stimulus being discounted- with appropriate comment by David Ingles

But For 2016-  doesnt even get the Nikkei back to unch for the year

 

Gold- is taking it on the chin with perception ofit as a safe haven risk off asset. We have and continue to say it is no such thing. It is money. So we say good riddance to those buying it like it were some mattress. It is a currency with a small float. Hot money cannot pile in and out of it and think it is safe. Buying the KIWI would have same effect. Buy and hold as a hedge against continuing paper money debasement is what we recommend.

FOLLOW THE YELLOW ARROW- lose the hot money and Gold will run to $1400

-interactive chart HERE

Markets

Equities- are up broadly as markets resume assumptions of stimulus will stabilize markets

  • Nikkei 16385 +.95%
  • FTSE 6722 +0.79%
  • S&P: 2159 + 0.64%
  • DOW: 18407 + 0.65%

Commodities- are mixed with oil bouncing after yesterdays selloff, Gold is weaker in USD terms

  • Oil 45.18  up 0.43
  • Nat Gas: 2.75 up .01
  • Gold: 1326 dn 17.00
  • Silver: 20.23: dn 0.18
  • CopperCopper: up 0.80
  • Grain Complex: up
  • Cotton: 73.39 +0.24

Currencies vs USD- the Yen is weaker, the GBP and EU are stronger in overnight trading. Gold is weaker vs Europe and stronger vs the yen

  • CNY 6.68
  • Yen: 105.63
  • GBP:1.3234 (PREANNOUNCEMENT)
  • EU: 1.111
  • Loon: 1.2926
  • Gold/Yen up 27.09
  • Gold/EU  dn15.79
  • Gold/GBP dn 17.57

Bonds- Bonds are weaker globally as money resumes rotation out of the asset and into stocks and cash

 

Good Morning and Good Luck

 

Related reading

BOE leaves rates unch, Japan Fuels Helicopters

Gundlach calls the bond market "Psychotic"

Yesterday's US Recap

 

 

-Soren K.

Sorenk@marketslant.com

 

 

 

 

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